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The Form Report

Braves’ five-game stretch shows why home runs tell only part of the story

Atlanta lost despite homers from Ozzie Albies and Sean Murphy on October 3, then won a day later with Michael Harris II’s three-hit game. A five-game sample offers a useful contrast.

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Two home-run performances were not enough for Atlanta on October 3. Ozzie Albies and Sean Murphy each homered against Los Angeles, but the Braves lost 5–3. A day later, Michael Harris II had three hits in a 3–2 win over the same opponent. Put those games beside each other and the headline power numbers stop looking like a complete explanation of the results.

That contrast sits inside a five-game postseason sample from September 29 through October 4. Atlanta won three and lost two, scoring 20 runs and allowing 16 against Philadelphia and Los Angeles. Those totals describe this particular stretch, rather than a season record or a forecast of what comes next. The individual games give the aggregate more texture.

In the October 3 loss, Albies drove in two runs and Murphy drove in one. Both had one hit, and both hits were home runs. Their production belongs in the account of that game, even though the result went to the Dodgers. A useful look at Atlanta’s offense has to make room for contributions that came in defeats, rather than treating a homer as evidence that everything else worked.

The next day’s win offers a different view of Harris. He went 3-for-5, scored a run and drove in another without a strikeout. Mauricio Dubon had a hit, a walk and an RBI in that same game. Harris’ three hits are a concrete detail worth carrying out of the box score; they give readers something more specific than simply saying Atlanta scored enough to win.

Harris also supplied power elsewhere in the sample. On October 1, he homered and drove in three runs in a 6–2 win over Philadelphia, while Albies homered and drove in two. On September 29, Austin Riley had a homer and three RBI in a 5–3 win over the Phillies. Harris had three hits and scored twice that day. Harris appears on both sides of that contrast: three hits in one win, a home run in another.

For Braves readers, the useful takeaway is that these results resist a single statistical shortcut. The October 3 home runs and October 4 three-hit performance deserve to be read with their respective outcomes. Over these five games, Atlanta’s offensive story includes both power and contact. The two Dodgers games make that distinction especially clear: Atlanta scored three runs in each, yet came away with one win and one loss.

Sources & further reading
  • Game scores and player statistics supplied by BALLDONTLIE.

Correction · Oct 6, 2026
Corrected the date of the Olson/Baldwin performances and removed unsupported claims about hit timing, consecutive home runs, playoff advancement and future opponents.

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